Is string theory correct?
23
492
450
3000
21%
chance

Resolves yes if there is essentially a consensus among physicists that string theory is correct, and no if there is essentially a consensus that string theory is incorrect. Otherwise, resolve as N/A.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 of YES

There is a (unresolved) conjecture called the "String Lamppost Principle" that says that quantum field theories incorporating general-relativistic gravity have to be string-theoretic in some way. (See for example https://indico.cern.ch/event/929434/contributions/3913286/attachments/2066410/3467937/Vafa.pdf.) I think this is a pretty strong indicator that whatever physicists do find will be string-theoretic in some way (unless they happen to overthrow quantum field theory and/or general relativity first, which seems unlikely).

Related:

Would Newtonian gravity count as "correct" for purposes of this question: a good approximation which nevertheless fails badly in extreme cases?

predicts NO
predicts NO

@wylderai If you mean that string theory predicts the same things at the scale in which the standard model applies, then no.

sold Ṁ19 of YES

@metachirality What would count as yes then, that there exists a string theory which correctly predicts everything at all scales?

predicts NO

@wylderai It should apply enough that you can meaningfully say that elementary particles are strings and that the universe has compactified spatial dimensions.