Will Ukrainians admitted on Humanitarian Parole get extension in 2025?
22
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Dec 31
44%
chance
3

Ukrainians admitted after August 13 2023 will get their parole expired soon. (Those who arrived before were able to switch to the Temporary Protection Status)

The procedure to extend the parole is officially active, but non have been extended thus far

Will people start getting approved extensions in this year?

https://quigley.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/quigley.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/quill-7-31-25-letter-to-the-trump-administration-re-u4u-work-permit-renewals.pdf

  • Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - YES if Ukrainians admitted on Humanitarian Parole are allowed to remain in the U.S. by any legal mechanism in August 2025, not only via an explicit Humanitarian Parole extension.

  • Update 2025-08-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A single case (or a few) will not suffice.

    • Resolve YES only if, in August 2025:

    • A non-trivial number of extensions are approved (roughly hundreds), or

    • There is a blanket ruling allowing expired statuses to legally remain (any legal mechanism counts).

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