Next Moon Landing [Mega-Market] πŸŒšπŸš€πŸ§‘β€πŸš€πŸŒ
23
1.4kαΉ€1568
2029
90%
While humans are on the lunar surface, a capsule is still in orbit
78%
Uses a rocket designed by Space X
75%
A woman is onboard
74%
More than 50 million Americans watch the moon landing
74%
An American citizen is onboard
72%
Rocket was launched from US soil
72%
It is on a NASA mission
51%
There are no reported incidents which disrupt the mission’s original planning & timeline (post-takeoff)
40%
At least 1 person with a citizenship other than to the US is aboard (could be a dual-citizen)
33%
3 or more humans land on the lunar surface
17%
The entire mission takes less than 8 days, from astronaut takeoff to landing on Earth (Apollo 11’s timing)

This market is about the next successful, human-staffed mission to land on the moon, and what will be true of the journey from earth to the moon and back.

Feel free to add anything relevant to the lunar mission, I may ask some qualifying questions.

If there is a trip to the lunar surface, it must meet the following criteria for anything in this market to Resolve YES:

  • Has humans onboard

  • Lands on the moon

  • Humans disembark from the ship and step onto the lunar surface in a suit, or in a vehicle (not counting the lunar lander - think carts or cars).

Market will extend as needed.

Get
αΉ€1,000
to start trading!
Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Termsβ€’Privacy