I can’t close the Poll, but it’s effectively moot from this point onwards.

@mattyb Not sure why you couldn't close it, I did it for you!

@Eliza cheers!

Just increased the bonus from M3 to M5 per unique trader on answers!

@JamesGrugett !!!!!!

@JamesGrugett woohoo!

@JamesGrugett this literally changes everything haha. i’m going to dream up so many more multi-markets now

@JamesGrugett Don't forget to add that to the Notion Changelog 🤣

@Eliza Oh right haha

Here are some examples of users who already participated in this thread.

VERY TYPICAL PATTERN:

- On resolved binary questions, most creators have a positive return. It might only be a few mana per question or many thousands. It looks like trader bonus works very nicely on these in general.

- On MC questions, the same exact traders who are well calibrated in creating binary questions, have lost 100s or 1000s on adding answers to their own MC questions. They're all bleeding like crazy.

Here's mattyb, who has actually got pretty good stats for MC creation, better than many! Probably because of realizing early on that it was unprofitable?

Creator Checkup - mattyb
Total Markets - 134
Total subsidy added (Binary) - 0
Total subsidy added (MC) - 0
Type               Count   Spent  Return   Bonus   Total
Binary (All)          84    4200     360    3405    -435
Binary (Resolved)     19     950     360     865     275
Binary (Unresolved)   65    3250       0    2540    -710
Binary (N/A)           0       0       0       0       0
MC (All)              45    7525     257    3553   -3715
MC (Linked)           28    4075     257    1545   -2273
MC (L-resolved)        9    1075      88     843    -144
MC (L-unresolved)     17    2825       0     696   -2129
MC (L-NA)              2     175     169       6       0
MC (Unlinked)        138    3450       0    2008   -1442
MC (U-resolved)       37     925       0    1090     165
MC (U-unresolved)    101    2525       0     828   -1697
MC (U-NA)              0       0       0       0       0
POLL                   4
BOUNTIED_QUESTION      1

@Eliza

And firstuserhere:

Creator Checkup - firstuserhere
Total Markets - 1493
Total subsidy added (Binary) - 111695.25
Total subsidy added (MC) - 5598.5
Type               Count   Spent  Return   Bonus   Total
Binary (All)         847  154045   16137   88983  -48926
Binary (Resolved)    509   61427   15137   46792     502
Binary (Unresolved)  318   91618       0   42191  -49428
Binary (N/A)          20    1000    1000       0       0
MC (All)             585   76824    3505   33866  -39452
MC (Linked)          538   54338    2455   20900  -30983
MC (L-resolved)      325   32988    1914   15312  -15762
MC (L-unresolved)    208   20725       0    5504  -15221
MC (L-NA)              5     625     541      84       0
MC (Unlinked)        764   22486    1050   12966   -8470
MC (U-resolved)      446   12549       0    9075   -3474
MC (U-unresolved)    275    7007       0    3783   -3224
MC (U-NA)             43    1080    1050      12     -18
POLL                  32
BOUNTIED_QUESTION     12
FREE_RESPONSE          8
PSEUDO_NUMERIC         3
STONK                  4
MULTI_DPM              2

Multibinaries are great, from both UI and UX perspective. Idk why they're not more incentivized.

In fact, a lot of big creators (including myself) have lost thousands creating them, and the returns are not that great with the 3 Ṁ bonus. I propose it should be increased.

There's a (binary) question I asked earlier today somewhat related:

The cost to create a single answer is lower than a Binary market, however, most participants will not play every multiple choice answer you add. They will only play a handful. Often only 1-2 if you added 10.

The current system says "Add fewer options to MC questions".

I have run an analysis on over a dozen creators and almost all of them have lost mana overall on creating MC questions/answers. The only exceptions are users who have gotten extremely popular MC markets, and even those are not particularly profitable.

By comparison, many, many users have made loads of mana from bonuses on Binary questions.

@Eliza Adding to this, it has affected the types of markets that I create now. I’ll try choose a fair 50% point now and just make a binary market around will it be above / below that - or choose a single option.

I made a Supreme Court market this morning (below) as a binary instead of a list of 9 as I had 0 confidence that my list of 9 would have a positive ROI but I’m pretty damn certain the binary will. That being said, as a trader the multi-market would’ve been more fun to trade in.