Israel:Hamas ceasefire in May? 🇮🇱🤝🇵🇸

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This is my 4th!!! time making this market. For the love of whichever God you believe in, please let this one finally be a YES.

At any point in the month of May will there be a cease in the fighting between Israel and Hamas?

Things which will cause this market to Resolve YES:

Israel and Hamas work out of a mutual cessation in fighting which lasts for at least 24hrs
Israel and Hamas end their war

Otherwise, this market will Resolve NO at the end of May 31st, 2024.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇮🇱 Israel

#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

#Israeli Politics

#🇮🇱 Israeli Foreign Politics

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https://www.cnn.com/middleeast/live-news/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news-05-07-24/h_321150ec723c5e17b27648c16159d75d

bought Ṁ50 YES

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-06/hamas-says-accepts-proposal-for-cease-fire-with-israel?srnd=homepage-americas

bought Ṁ30 YES

How do you evaluate if Israel and Hamas end their war? Say that the IDF captures Rafah and kills Sinwar but there are still isolated Hamas members doing some things. Is that the end of the war?

@nathanwei sure, i’ll be going off the wikipedia page. if they say it’s still “ongoing” this market won’t resolve.

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