If Trump wins the election, this market Resolves N/A. Otherwise, if Trump mentions his advantage on Polymarket as a reason that the election was stolen / rigged / incorrectly decided before inauguration day 2025, this will Resolve YES.

Trump doesn’t need to mention Polymarket specifically, but if he must mention that there was a prediction market that favored him heavily (he apparently called it polypoll before), and that this is a reason / proof that the election was incorrectly called, or otherwise fraudulent.

For example if Trump said/tweeted, “I had a huge lead on that betting website, everyone said I was going to win, and they stole it from us”, this would Resolve YES, as he’s linking being ahead on Poly to the stolen election.

For context, a single whale has been pushing Trump’s Polymarket odds up (Domer’s investigation here), where now Poly is above Manifold and the NYT by 10%, and above Kalshi by 4%.