Will Trump win or lose the 2024 election for US President, and will he concede by the end of November?

Definitions:

• The winner is defined as the person who wins the majority of votes for US President in the Electoral College, or selected by Congress following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment. It can resolve provisionally if all of ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox, NBC and The Associated Press call the same winner. Note that if the winner is unknown at the end of November, that doesn't matter, what matters is the final winner. (So if the winner is unknown at the end of November, and Trump has not conceded as a result, and later we find out that Trump lost, resolves to "Trump loses, does not concede by end of November")

• Whether Trump concedes is defined the same as https://manifold.markets/jack/will-trump-concede-by-end-of-novemb - whether reliable media publications report that he has conceded. (I will not judge whether he has conceded, the criteria is whether they report that Trump conceded.)

• If Trump is no longer running for President as of the start of election day (midnight ET), e.g. because he drops out, resolves to that.