MANIFOLD
Who will be next elected to Chuck Schumer's seat?
2
Ṁ200Ṁ35
2038
45%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Pat Ryan
7%
Ritchie Torres
7%
Zohran Mamdani
7%
Hakeem Jeffries
7%
Andrew Cuomo
7%
Brad Lander
11%
Other

Who will be the first person elected to Chuck Schumer's Senate seat after Chuck Schumer? Schumer himself is ineligible, and only elections count, not any kind of special appointment.

Which seat is lineally Schumer's vacated seat should be obvious. If for some unforeseen reason it is not, like a radical reorganization of the Senate, then the market may be N/A'd. His "seat" refers to his Class III Senate seat or whatever it becomes, not his status as senior senator from NY, nor any physical chairs he may be associated with.

Market close date is arbitrary and will be extended as long as it needs to be.

I will not trade in this market.

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