National parliament voting intention of the Conservatives in the UK as of 27 September 2024, according to Politico?
Plus
15
Ṁ4458resolved Oct 17
100%95%
At least 20%, but less than 27%
0.5%
Less than 20%
4%
At least 27%, but less than 34%
0.5%
At least 34%, but less than 41%
0.1%
At least 41%, but less than 48%
0.1%
48% or more
Full title on GJOpen "What will be the percentage of national parliament voting intention for the Conservative and Unionist Party (the Conservatives) in the UK as of 27 September 2024, according to Politico?" Resolves the same.
The next UK general election is due no later than early 2025, and the currently ruling Conservatives are trailing in the polls (Economist, Politico, Sky News, BBC). The question will be suspended on 26 September 2024 and the outcome determined using data as provided in Politico's "Poll of Polls" page for the UK no earlier than 2 October 2024 (Politico - Poll of Polls, use default "Smooth" view). Whether elections are called early and/or take place during the question's open period is immaterial.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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