Government coalition following the 2024 Thuringian state election?
Basic
17
Ṁ5504resolved Dec 11
100%96%
CDU+BSW+SPD
0.4%
Left+SPD+Greens (continuation)
0.4%
AfD+CDU
0.2%
AfD+BSW
0.3%
Left+CDU+SPD
0.3%
Left+SPD+BSW
0.3%
CDU+Left+SPD+Greens
0.4%
CDU+SPD
0.2%
CDU+SPD+Greens
0.1%
CDU+Left+BSW
1.5%Other
Resolves to the coalition of the next government following the 2024 Thuringian state election on September 1.
Close date might be adapted.
The order and vote numbers are not relevant for this question. For example, AfD+CDU is the same as CDU+AfD.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@marktwse Resolves as YES, the coalition agreement has been signed by all parties, see e.g https://www.stern.de/news/thueringen--koalitionsvertrag-zwischen-cdu-und-bsw-sowie-spd-unterzeichnet-35302738.html
@marktwse Maybe CDU+SPD or CDU+SPD+Greens, as a minority government tolerated by the Left and maybe BSW?
@marktwse CDU + SPD + BSW + Greens seems not too unlikely, given that it just adds BSW to the previous coalition. It would be a minority government, but all likely options are minority
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91% chance