Resolves YES if chess is solved, showing that Black can force a draw. Resolves NO if White can force a win.
People are also trading
@NcyRocks Indeed I think it is possible in principle. There are often points in the middlegame where you sacrifice material for a winning attack, and those moves would potentially be off limits to black in this scenario.
Someone should make a market about this.
My apologies everyone, I seem to have gotten confused between "Black can force a draw against a perfect player" and "Black can force a draw against any player", or something like that. I had the latter in mind, people care about the former, and I thought they were equivalent, which is clearly wrong. People seem to have traded on both understandings. My bad!
It seems like the two interpretations are probably pretty similar, if we don't count resigning? (Which I did think of in response to @JoshuaB's comment above)