Can Black force a draw without winning in chess?

Question

Resolves YES if it is shown that Black can literally force a draw in chess. That is, Black can play in such a way that they are guaranteed neither to win nor to lose.

Neither player may resign.

Close date to be extended until it's proven one way or the other.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 63% chance (19 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).