Will I achieve a Rapid rating of over 1000 on Lichess in 2024?
8
29
240
2025
76%
chance

Background: I learned the rules and have played the occasional game as a teenager, but was never part of a chess club (other than making it to an intro session and deciding it's not for me).

Since then and until early this year, i.e. for roughly 20 years, I've probably played a single-digit or low double-digit number of games and have never studied/practiced.

I started playing ranked on Lichess in February this year and improved from an initial 700 to a bit over 900 as of today.

I only play ranked games against random opponents online and will not attempt to game my rating in either direction and won't be trading myself in this market.

Get Ṁ200 play money