MANIFOLD
Who will acquire Openclaw, OpenAI or Meta?
27
Ṁ10kṀ91k
resolved Feb 20
100%99.0%
OpenAI
1.0%
Meta

As Peter Steinberger mentioned on Lex's podcast, two companies are bidding to acquire OpenClaw (previously clawdbot), who will win with their offer?

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What a lame prediction platform. People just gobbling up provided liquidity after a thing is a fact rather than it being used to improve thinking and predictions and speculation and form world models.

@MattF The market creator and probably the mods could close the market to stop trading while they judge the outcome. Other than that, how do you propose things be done any differently?

@HankyUSA im not sure there is a solution besides greater volume and realer outcomes to incentivize the more optimal behavior, which is what polymarket and kalshi are.

So im just mentioning a well covered already grievance with its known source as a reminder of an issue here of the place suboptimally achieving a goal at least I have.

Always interested in potential solutions as a response or an update on what the community has philosophically resolved on these limitations.

What's the state of things here? Was it actually acquired by OpenAI, is it a foundation thing, or what?

@EvanDaniel The founder joined OpenAI, OpenClaw lives in a foundation: https://www.reuters.com/business/openclaw-founder-steinberger-joins-openai-open-source-bot-becomes-foundation-2026-02-15/

In the OpenAI vs Meta bidding war the creator describes, looks like most have interpreted the resolution criteria "who will win with their offer?" as OpenAI YES.

@mods this can resolve

@JPD In general, if you provide links to sources, it makes life easier for the mod team and helps us get through the backlog faster. Thank you!

Six seven

bought Ṁ147 YES

this should be resolved @creator

filled a Ṁ1,000 YES at 99.0% order

@creator this can resolve to openai

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