What will be true of the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party?
44
1.4kṀ21kresolved Nov 2
Resolved
YESIs a woman
Resolved
YESIs an ethnic minority
Resolved
YESBecame an MP in 2017 or later
Resolved
YESRepresents a seat in England
Resolved
YESSupported Leave in the 2016 referendum
Resolved
YESBorn in 1980 or later
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YESWas a candidate in the July–September 2022 leadership election
Resolved
YESHas been a candidate in any previous Conservative leadership election
Resolved
YESIs an MP
Resolved
NOBecame an MP in 2010 or earlier
Resolved
NOHas a majority of > 10,000 votes
Resolved
NORunner-up in their constituency are the Lib Dems
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NOHas held a Great Office of State (PM/Chancellor/Home Sec/Foreign Sec)
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NOIs a former Prime Minister
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NOCo-wrote Britannia Unchained (Truss/Kwarteng/Patel/Raab/Skidmore)
Resolved
NOTheir constituency borders exactly two Labour-held ones.
Resolved
NORunner-up in their constituency are Reform UK
This market is about the next leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party in the United Kingdom (after Rishi Sunak); once the next leader is chosen, every statement that applies to them will resolve YES and every statement that is false about them will resolve NO. Interim leaders do not count. If the party changes its name, that doesn't matter, but if the party ceases to exist, everything will resolve N/A.
Feel free to add your own answers; I reserve the right to remove any that are duplicates, ambiguous or offensive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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