Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 50+ points before 2030?
24
1kṀ1350
2029
5%
chance
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Does an affordable, available AI tool that can perform an IQ test at 150+ qualify for a yes resolution? Or does it need to be an internal upgrade?

@NickAllen internal upgrade.

People are also trading

What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?
5.7
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points before 2030?
6% chance
Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030?
12% chance
Will there be a survivable way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM by the end of 2030?
8% chance
By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?
28% chance
Will this idea for enhancing intelligence in adult humans through genetic engineering work?
24% chance
Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?
61% chance
Will I believe that Klotho gene therapy in adults is a nontrivial cognitive enhancer (order of >5 IQ pts) EOY 2025?
39% chance
Will the average IQ/intelligence of manifold users in 2025 be lower than that of 2023?
69% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy