Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?
10
1kṀ2962030
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Relatively safe = <1% probability of serious disability or mortality.
I might rely on users posting proof in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030?
12% chance
Will there be a survivable way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM by the end of 2030?
8% chance
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points before 2030?
6% chance
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 50+ points before 2030?
5% chance
By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?
22% chance
By the end of 2050, it will not be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations
68% chance
Will average IQ in developed countries drop 15 points or more by EOY 2098?
5% chance
Will this idea for enhancing intelligence in adult humans through genetic engineering work?
24% chance
Will I believe that Klotho gene therapy in adults is a nontrivial cognitive enhancer (order of >5 IQ pts) EOY 2025?
39% chance
Will average IQ drop by 15 points in 75 years the US?
9% chance