By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations? | Manifold

By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

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By 2050, it will [] be possible to increase a healthy adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days.

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

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Does it require the treatment being worth >=2 std on 100% of people who haven't had it? Or would increasing any adult's IQ by that much count?

What about treatments that work on 10% of the population? And 1%

See also the negated version of this question:

(It's the exact same question, I'm just curious which title phrasing gets more interest.)

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Related questions

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

By the end of 2050, it will not be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations

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Will there be a survivable way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM by the end of 2030?

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030?

Will this idea for enhancing intelligence in adult humans through genetic engineering work?

Will average IQ in developed countries drop 15 points or more by EOY 2098?

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