Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030? 🧠🕵️
101
1.5kṀ11k2029
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The method used could be anything, for example scanning the brain and decoding brain waves into language and/or images using machine learning.
Experimentally, we should be able to do things like predict someone's internal monologue with only minor errors, or predict what answers someone will give to questions, with only minor errors.
For example, if someone thinks of a number between 1-100 and we can consistently guess which number they're thinking of, this would be strong evidence for YES.
Reminder to read comments for additional clarifications.
Previous:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we be able to read AIs minds in 2030?
25% chance
Will anyone have their mind read without their prior consent before 2030?
22% chance
Will we invent telepathic like communication by the year 2100
78% chance
Will we have a reliable way of uploading people's minds onto computers by 2030?
18% chance
Will mind-reading be used in a US court of law before 2030?
5% chance
Will biologically generated telepathy be proven to be real by 2030?
2% chance
Will we have widely used recommender systems that uses brain data by 2030? 🧠
23% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
91% chance
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?
26% chance
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
25% chance