Will a billionaire make a Manifold market by the end of 2023
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Ṁ8.2kresolved Jan 5
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@Conflux I would have thought lots. Scott Alexander must be a millionaire with all that Substack money. There are various other public figures on here, some of whom will have money. But also, I think there are some mid-late career programmers and people who work in finance on here. Any American with a high salary and a desire to have savings will get to be a millionaire pretty quick.
Seems hard to prove, but it seems very likely to me. If somebody made a market with resolution criteria I could get behind (big if), I'd buy to 95% or more.
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