Background. There has been some discussion of whether Russia will abandon its naval base in Syria. Polymarket has a related market on this question.
Resolution. This market will resolve YES if Russia abandons the Tartus Naval Facility in Syria at any point in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve NO. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Clarifications:
For the purposes of this market, "abandon" is defined as Russia withdrawing all military and civilian personnel from the Tartus naval base.
Given this definition, the market would resolve YES if the Tartus naval base were temporarily evacuated, provided that all military and civilian personnel have left the base at a point in time.
The definition also implies that the market would still resolve YES if Russia were to abandon the Tartus naval base but were to open a new naval base in Syria.