Will Russia retaliate militarily on any non-participating member of NATO before the end of 2025?
14
1kṀ3722
Jan 1
12%
chance

Resolves yes if Russia conducts a military operation against any NATO member (as of November 2024), without that member having declared a war, or conducted a military operation against Russia.

Countries providing military, humanitarian, or financial aide are not considered participating.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy