Will there be a trillionaire by June 2026?
23
Ṁ100Ṁ1.9kMay 31
6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if an individual person's net worth is confidently estimated at or above 1 trillion USD before 1 June '26.
Otherwise resolves No on 1 June '26.
Update 2026-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Elon Musk's self-claim of being a trillionaire will not be sufficient for Yes resolution. The creator will wait for a more formal/authoritative estimate of net worth.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2026?
72% chance
Will Elon Musk's wealth reach $1 trillion by 2026?
46% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
80% chance
Will there be a trillionaire (USD) by EOY 2029?
84% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
85% chance
Will there be a trillionaire this decade?
83% chance
Will I be a trillionaire by 2100?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before July 2026?
25% chance
Will the world see a trillionaire before the year 2035?
88% chance
Who will be the first trillionaire?