Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?

125Ṁ182

Dec 31

26%

Q1 (Jan 1st - Apr 1st)

58%

Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st)

58%

Q3 (Jul 1st - Oct 1st)

58%

Q4 (Oct 1st - Jan 1st 2027)

89%

Any part of 2026

Options resolve Yes if any UK cabinet minister resigns in the corresponding timeframe.

Multiple options can resolve Yes if ministers resign in more than one timeframe. Any option covers the (plausible) event that none resign in 2026.

If government dissolves this will be treated as a resignation.

Full list of cabinet ministers available here:

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