If Joe Biden is elected President, will he die during his second term?
29
193
550
2028
10%
chance

Resolves YES if Joe Biden is elected President, then dies during his second term. Also counts if he is elected, but dies before his term officially begins.

Resolves N/A if Joe Biden is not elected President again.

Resolves NO if Joe Biden is elected President, then survives the entirety of his second term.

Will resolve as reported by the BBC.


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@konstiewerth What if he resigns or is removed from office during his second term, then dies before the normal end of it, before 1/20/2029.

What if he is elected, but dies before his second term begins? (Before 1/20/2025)? That's not "during his second term".


Also, the ending date should be 1/20/29 at noon eastern, since that's when the term ends, not at the election?

@DanielTilkin If he resigns or is removed, then dies before 1/20/29, he would not die during his second term, so the market would resolve NO.
If he is elected but dies before his second term begins, I'd resolve it YES - I've added this to the description. It would be an awkward loophole otherwise.

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