Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least one full year?

Basic

Ṁ16k

resolved Nov 9

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market will resolve to "YES" if Rishi Sunak is the UK Prime Minister for at least 365 full days, counting from the time of pleading an oath of allegiance.

This market will resolve to "NO" if Rishi Sunak does not plead an oath by December 31 2022, or if for any reason he stops being the UK Prime Minister after spending less than 365 in this office.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#UK politics

#Prime Millennial

Get

1,000

and

3.00

7 Comments

23 Holders

58 Trades

Sort by:

predictedYES

https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-rishi-sunak-hold-the-uk-prime-8834d111918d

Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least two years?

58% chance. This market will resolve to "YES" if Rishi Sunak is the UK Prime Minister for at least 730 full days, counting from the time of pleading an oath of allegiance. Thus resolves on October 25.

predictedYES

Resolves YES please!

bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 98.7% to 99.0%

predictedYES

@Noit Please tag me then i can see it

predictedYES

To save others from Googling, he took office on 25th October 2022, so we’re 20 days from resolution. If this was helpful, please hit the tip button in this comment’s dotdotdot menu.

predictedYES

@Noit then https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-rishi-sunak-hold-the-uk-prime-8834d111918d

PM don't 'plead an oath of allegiance' (though MPs do, but Sunak obviously did that already) so taking the resolution criteria literally this would likely resolve negative. I'd suggest changing this to 'being appointed by the King' or something like that.

Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least one full year?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related questions

Related questions