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https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-rishi-sunak-hold-the-uk-prime-8834d111918d

Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least two years?

58% chance. This market will resolve to "YES" if Rishi Sunak is the UK Prime Minister for at least 730 full days, counting from the time of pleading an oath of allegiance. Thus resolves on October 25.

Resolves YES please!

@Noit Please tag me then i can see it

To save others from Googling, he took office on 25th October 2022, so we’re 20 days from resolution. If this was helpful, please hit the tip button in this comment’s dotdotdot menu.

@Noit then https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-rishi-sunak-hold-the-uk-prime-8834d111918d

PM don't 'plead an oath of allegiance' (though MPs do, but Sunak obviously did that already) so taking the resolution criteria literally this would likely resolve negative. I'd suggest changing this to 'being appointed by the King' or something like that.

Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least one full year?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition