Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least one full year?

101

Ṁ16K

Ṁ540

resolved Nov 9

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market will resolve to "YES" if Rishi Sunak is the UK Prime Minister for at least 365 full days, counting from the time of pleading an oath of allegiance.

This market will resolve to "NO" if Rishi Sunak does not plead an oath by December 31 2022, or if for any reason he stops being the UK Prime Minister after spending less than 365 in this office.

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7 Comments

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predicted YES

https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-rishi-sunak-hold-the-uk-prime-8834d111918d

Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least two years?

58% chance. This market will resolve to "YES" if Rishi Sunak is the UK Prime Minister for at least 730 full days, counting from the time of pleading an oath of allegiance. Thus resolves on October 25.

predicted YES

Resolves YES please!

bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 98.7% to 99.0%

predicted YES

@Noit Please tag me then i can see it

predicted YES

To save others from Googling, he took office on 25th October 2022, so we’re 20 days from resolution. If this was helpful, please hit the tip button in this comment’s dotdotdot menu.

predicted YES

@Noit then https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-rishi-sunak-hold-the-uk-prime-8834d111918d

PM don't 'plead an oath of allegiance' (though MPs do, but Sunak obviously did that already) so taking the resolution criteria literally this would likely resolve negative. I'd suggest changing this to 'being appointed by the King' or something like that.

Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least one full year?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition