https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year
PLEASE! Notice that this question asks about TIME's Person of The Year 2023
Related questions
@itsTomekK how does this resolve if the title is shared between 'Sam Altman and ChatGPT"? Is that 50% Sam, 50% ChatGPT? Or 33% Sam, 33% ChatGPT, 33% "The AI"?
@itsTomekK since this is a parimutuel market, should you have it close before the announcement so that the smart ones of us backing Bibi (since March!) don't get diluted by late bettors after it's announced?
Maybe close the market soon, since it's DPM? Could be worth betting on if it closes early.
@itsTomekK If you look at the market type it says "parimutuel", not "fixed". This means that bets made later, eg after the resolving event, can reduce returns to bets made earlier. The only fix for that is to close the market before the resolving event.
New free response markets use a fixed return type and don't have the same problem.
@ShakedKoplewitz Does this include all AIs? If ChatGPT is selected, does that count for this option?
Zelensky was chosen for 2022, so he‘s probably not going to be the choice for 2023. My perception is that he’s been in the news less recently, so I’d expect him to be even less prominent in 2023 unless some major changes happen with the war.
Are things like "The pope" or "The british PM" fair play here if the holder of that title changes in the next year?
@ShakedKoplewitz Good question.
It should be NO - we will resolve to the Person of The Year.
If Pope changes, then market should price up the new one... however the previous might still get it., etc.
btw,
@kolotom99 Oh OK, I did actually misread. Seems very hard to predict then.
@LachlanMunro Hopefully throughout the year it will get clearer. Can't wait to see movements in this market in 2023
Related questions
