Will the Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Study by the LEVF succeed in increasing mouse lifespan 12 months?
➕
Plus
29
Ṁ2219
2027
36%
chance

Link to the study can be found here Robust Mouse Rejuvenation - Study 1 — LEV Foundation

Details:

The Longevity Escape Velocity Foundation is a foundation trying to cure ageing. At the beginning of 2023 they are starting "a sequence of large mouse lifespan studies" to determine if their interventions can substantially increase mouse lifespan.

I will be resolving Yes if the study achieve "Robust Mouse Rejuvenation" which they define as an intervention that:

  • is applied to mice of a strain with a historic mean lifespan of at least 30 months

  • is initiated at an age of at least 18 months

  • increases both mean and maximum lifespan by at least 12 months

I resolve to No if this study does not manage to achieve "Robust Mouse Rejuvenation" or if the trial is stopped for some reason or if they say they have succeeded but it is obvious to everyone that they are lying for some reason.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

The results from the March update are quite impressive. The interventions seem to be working but not enough to rejuvenate the average lifespan by 12 months...

What do you think of the current results after around one year that the study is going?

Since no one is biting @ 30%, I've put M1000 @ 40% as well

Put up M1000 Yes @ 30% if anyone wants to take a larger bet against me

Do only the trials that are currently active count? They've stated they are already planning more and looking for funding.

predicts YES

@AdamMcDonald Only the current ones.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules