Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?
Basic
19
795
2100
61%
chance

If both women and non-women take the next step at the same time, resolves to the fraction of women among them. If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.

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If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.

This should be n/a IMO