Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?
23
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2100
68%
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If both women and non-women take the next step at the same time, resolves to the fraction of women among them. If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.

  • Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:

    • Only count individuals who actually set foot on the lunar surface.

    • Crew members who remain inside a landed vehicle and do not exit are not counted.

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Suggested amendment: Resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission that set foot on the lunar surface. No point in including people who had to stay on the shuttle or lander.

@PhilosophyBear Is it plausible that some will stay inside? If you have a specific scenario in mind, please explain because I might want to take that into consideration. If this is just a general suggestion to make the rules slightly more true to the title I'll go ahead and merge it in.

@jskf it's pretty credible that some crew members will stay in orbit like Apollo

@JoshuaWilkes ahh, I was imagining they would be in a vehicle that landed on the moon and then they just do not go outside lol. Yeah, in that case I would resolve based on only the people who actually set foot on the surface.

@jskf it's possible that four people would land on the service but only two would make the first moon walk I think. But the possibility that we won't know who takes the first step is really vanishingly small

If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.

This should be n/a IMO

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