Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first woman to walk on the Moon is a Chinese national. Verification will be based on official announcements from space agencies such as NASA or the China National Space Administration (CNSA), and reputable news sources reporting on the event.

Background

As of June 2025, no woman has walked on the Moon. Both the United States and China have announced plans to send female astronauts to the lunar surface in the near future:

• United States: NASA's Artemis program aims to land the first woman on the Moon. The Artemis III mission, initially scheduled for 2024, has been delayed, with current projections targeting a landing by 2026. (nasa.gov)

• China: The China National Space Administration (CNSA) plans to land astronauts on the Moon before 2030. While specific crew compositions have not been disclosed, China has been actively including female astronauts in its space missions. (apnews.com)

Considerations

• Mission Timelines: Delays are common in space exploration. While NASA's Artemis program has experienced setbacks, China's lunar ambitions are also subject to potential delays.

• Crew Selection: Both nations have qualified female astronauts, but final crew selections for lunar missions have not been publicly announced.

• International Collaboration: While both countries have independent lunar programs, unforeseen collaborations or changes in mission plans could influence which nation achieves this milestone first.