Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2033

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It may later be succeeded by other technologies, but it should be a thing for a period of at least 6 months.

10% of people regularly doing it will serve as an anchor for the definition of "common", but I don't expect to have this clean data when resolving, and will be vaguely estimating based on this.

It may be wrapped in a no-code user interface, as long as there is still a very general coding AI behind it.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (114 traders, as of Mar 16, 2026).