🏅 Top traders

Resolving no for the same reason I resolved the other market yes: the plane was brought down by a bomb planted under a wing before the flight, so it was not shot down.

Surprised it was that high in the first place since there were already reports about “unknown repairs” to the aircraft.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/24/us/politics/plane-crash-prigozhin-explosion.html

NYT reporting an on-board explosion.

https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/wagner-prigozhin-russia-assassinated-intelligence-3e456fab

WSJ News Exclusive | Early Intelligence Suggests Prigozhin Was Assassinated, U.S. Officials Say

Preliminary findings suggest it wasn’t surface-to-air missile that took down Wagner leader’s plane

Should also increase the probability of this one, no?

It's a very interesting disproportion between these two markets... Do you believe that it really was an accident?

It can be not an accident and also not shot down.

@Joshua Like what for example? Passenger deliberately crashing the plane? The plane being somehow broken on purpose before the take off?

@MrLuke255 Yes or a bomb on board or adulterated fuel or the like.

I mean there's already pretty good video of it.

@SemioticRivalry pretty good video of a burning plane, yes.