Will high skill immigration to the USA become more restricted under President Trump?
Basic
11
Ṁ2922025
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this tweet
If I perceive that Trump's regime is more restrictive to high skilled immigration, in particular for tech industry workers I'll resolve this to yes.
I will ask Jonathan Gray to give his opinion in a years time, and will take it into consideration when resolving. I'll also look at other sources, hopefully including numbers of immigrants entering the USA under these schemes, if I can get my hands on them!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
I noticed that there's another market asking roughly the same question in reverse, so I bought some shares in Yes to bring them more in line
https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/will-trump-significantly-expand-hig
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump declare a national emergency on immigration before February 2025?
47% chance
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
40% chance
Will Trump's first executive order be about immigration and/or the border?
46% chance
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
84% chance
Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
15% chance
Will Trump restrict porn?
14% chance
Will the US significantly ease legal migration for highly trained professionals before 2025?
8% chance
Will the US enact high-skilled immigration reform to help win the AI race against China?
33% chance
Will the ability of F-1 international students to work in the US be severely curtailed before July 2025?
41% chance
Will Donald Trump attempt to implement mass deportations within his first month in office?
64% chance