Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
➕
Plus
91
Ṁ6387
2033
72%
chance

The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.

For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event. If an astronaut or politician walked on the moon or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving the moon or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to the moon or regain the presidency).

I will not bet in this market.

/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a

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Ṁ1,000
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Election bump

Analogous market for the first woman on Mars:
/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a

Joe Biden has endorsed Kamala Harris.

/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964

What if they identify as transgender DURING presidency (or mid-moon-walk?) I'm guessing that would resolve yes?

@Mana Yes, unless of course it’s part of a cruel joke. Either way, I will be deliberate about the resolution.

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