
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
19
Ṁ1.1kṀ1.7k2032
81%
United States
80%
China
40%
Canada
40%
Germany
40%
Italy
40%
France
39%
United Kingdom
39%
Japan
33%
India
10%
Russia
This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.
To add countries, please use a simple, English, colloquial name for the country. I reserve the right to make good faith edits to new answers in order to match the style.
This market closes a few days after New Year’s Day to allow for clarity around potential ambiguous circumstances.
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
"China is ready with lunar spacesuit in latest step towards 2030 moon landing"
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3280375/china-ready-lunar-spacesuit-latest-step-towards-2030-moon-landing
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
55% chance
By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Which country will have landed the most of its citizens on the moon by 2075?
What will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
What nationalities will be on the moon before 2030
Which country will be the second one to walk on the moon?
Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?
64% chance
Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?
66% chance
Which of the following countries will the next astronaut to set foot on the moon represent?
Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2040?
80% chance