
will xAI release a reasoning model this month?
38
1kṀ12kresolved Feb 19
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
Rumour:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ374 | |
2 | Ṁ337 | |
3 | Ṁ241 | |
4 | Ṁ163 | |
5 | Ṁ152 |
Sort by:
https://x.com/karpathy/status/1891720635363254772
Grok 3 (released to at least some paying X users) has a toggleable "think" mode, which can solve puzzles and create code ~comparable to o1-pro ($200/month) according to Andrej Karpathy.
I think the market resolves to yes.
Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI ship an AI model similar to Deep Research before February 4, 2026?
98% chance
Will Anthropic Release a Reasoning model (a la o1) before OpenAI releases o3 for general users.
99% chance
will xAI open-source Grok 2 by April 30?
32% chance
Will X be merged into xAI in 2025?
12% chance
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
28% chance
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
35% chance
Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30
65% chance
Will OpenAI release a model which generates images using reasoning / inference-time scaling before 2026?
53% chance
Will the state-of-the-art AI model use latent space to reason by 2026?
18% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
63% chance