Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30 | Manifold

Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30

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Jun 30

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This question resolves based on https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard Arena Score on June 30 at 4pm ET.

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The fact that deepseek is there with an MIT license is

1) bloody awesome

2) should make it easier to surpass for everyone else since they can directly build on it

I think deepseek's current results are easy to replicate. But not sure what Xai's release schedule is going to look like.

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Related questions

will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?

Will xAI integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?

"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?

Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

Will xAI's acquisition of X be challenged ?

When will DeepSeek release R2?

When will DeepSeek release V4?

Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?

What will XAI & X do in 2025?

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