Will X be merged into xAI in 2025?
Plus
82
Ṁ68682026
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is Casey's low-confidence prediction from the 1/3/25 episode of the "Hard Fork" podcast.
Market will resolve to yes if X is merged into xAI, or becomes a subsidiary of xAI, in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI ship an AI model similar to Deep Research before February 4, 2026?
81% chance
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
31% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
63% chance
Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30
55% chance
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
62% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
41% chance
Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026
65% chance
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
35% chance
will the publicly disclosed xAI market cap exceed OpenAI's market cap at end of year 2025?
18% chance
Will xAI receive preferential treatment* by the Trump administration in 2025?
59% chance