![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fjim%2F9deymnudcl.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will Luma AI release real-time video gen within a year?
Basic
22
Ṁ1.1k2025
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if they release a video generation service that generates at least 1 second of video per second.
https://x.com/ai_for_success/status/1809904045898993951
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FNcRUAvlvii.png?alt=media&token=734ebf16-7db6-4126-a8ec-096ff15a85af)
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Will try to create more rigorous criteria later, but here's rough outline for now: must be available to the public. Must be similar or higher equality to what's already available on lumalabs.ai/dream-machine.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Video Generation AI be able to 24-7 livestream in real time by EOY 2024?
48% chance
Will AI generate realistic video of animal movement before 2025?
66% chance
Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2025?
72% chance
Will OpenAI / Dall-E support real-time AI image generation in 2024?
48% chance
Will Google's Video Generation Model, Lumiere, be Released in 2024?
78% chance
When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?
When will OpenAI release video generation model to general public?
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
69% chance
Will a Hollywood-grade production make use of generative AI for visual effects in the next 12 months?
48% chance
Will a major tech company release a generative video editor by the end of 2024?
74% chance