Resolution Criteria

The Gordie Howe International Bridge connects Detroit's I-75 to Canada's Highway 401 in Ontario. This market resolves YES if the bridge opens to traffic (vehicles crossing between the U.S. and Canada) at any point during 2026. The market resolves NO if the bridge does not open to traffic by December 31, 2026.

Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Windsor-Detroit Bridge Authority or confirmed reports from major news outlets documenting the bridge's opening to public traffic.

Background

After more than six years of construction the $6.4 billion Gordie Howe International Bridge linking Windsor and Detroit is now expected to open in "early 2026".

Considerations

U.S. President Donald Trump is threatening to block the opening of the Gordie Howe Bridge, which represents a significant political risk factor. A major part of the delay is due to extensive and stringent systems testing, such as ensuring the fire suppression system is working properly; the bridge will be able to handle hazmat shipments. The exact opening date will depend on ongoing quality reviews, testing and commissioning, and sufficient time for operating teams and border agencies to be ready to operate this new and modern land border crossing.

This description was generated by AI.