
Will these LLM + search companies still be in business in 2027? [Free response]
39
1.2kṀ32482027
93%
Chatgpt
69%
perplexity.ai
60%
exa.ai (formerly known as metaphor.systems)
41%
waldo.fyi
41%
phind.com
9%
komo.ai
"In business" is defined as: the website can still be accessed and is actively maintained.
Acquired companies that do not operate independently resolve to NO.
Rebranding does not affect the resolution (e.g. metaphor.systems --> exa.ai).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
34% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
90% chance
Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
48% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
47% chance
In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?
65% chance
Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?
92% chance
Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?
90% chance
Will total LLM or Agent provider revenue be more than 1T worldwide by best estimates, as of mid 2027?
39% chance
Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?
87% chance
Will YouTube Comments make it into a major LLM by EOY 2027?
62% chance
Sort by:
Metaphor.systems just got rebranded to exa.ai. Same company. Planning to just rename the corresponding option if everyone is ok with it.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
34% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
90% chance
Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
48% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
47% chance
In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?
65% chance
Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?
92% chance
Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?
90% chance
Will total LLM or Agent provider revenue be more than 1T worldwide by best estimates, as of mid 2027?
39% chance
Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?
87% chance
Will YouTube Comments make it into a major LLM by EOY 2027?
62% chance