🏅 Top traders

@jeb Since you were inactive, we've resolved on your behalf. If you don't agree, we can re-resolve it.

Criteria is unclear and creator is unresponsive. While it's probably self-resolving and probably yes, it's not clear how or what the exact rules are. I'm inclined to resolve N/A on the basis of it being an unclear market, but it has more traders than I usually do that for.

Opinions, @traders ? If there's a specific resolution criteria, what is it and more importantly how do I know?

@EvanDaniel It was a social experiment.

21 people hold a yes position, 6 people hold a No position, at closing time.

100% of them bet on it.

Resolves to 100%?

I'd also accept "resolves to prob in the absence of the creator, but if the creator comes back they can resolve as they see fit".

I prefer not to N/A.

@Eliza I'm a fan of finding ways to not N/A...

If we count either by closing price or number of traders we get the same answer, most were betting yes.

@EvanDaniel

Manifold has around 70,000 users, 27 bet on this market. Resolves to 0.038571%?

Earth has around.....

If we resolve to 100%, how would any trader have a complaint at all. "I bet no" --> "Well, you bet on it, so it resolved Yes".

Resolves to 100%.

@Eliza OK but the question is "will you bet yes on this" not "will you bet on this".

Is "you" "traders" or "people who saw the market" or something else? I think the obvious interpretation is traders, but who knows it could be weird... But inventing weirdness that wasn't there to start with doesn't feel like the right way to resolve.

@EvanDaniel Oh, I definitely misread the title, I thought it was just "will you bet on this"

In that case, try to defeat resolving to [21/27]%?

@Eliza Wait, we have to check how many users bet Yes, not just how many hold Yes

@Eliza cos and botlab both bet Yes, even though they hold No at close.

Noah bought Yes then sold it all

Calibrated Chameleon and Morgan Wild bought No then sold it all eventually

24 out of 30 participants specifically bet Yes. Resolves 80%

@Eliza Works for me.

If the social experiment in question was "how will the mods deal with this weird abandoned bullshit" then well, that's definitely an experiment and we've found an answer.

@jeb Is this a self resolving market?

This resolves to no if it’s 49 percent or lower by definition, no? That would mean, on average, I did not bet yes on this. Alternatively, is the (number of traders divided by number of unique views) and resolving to no by default?

Maybe