Will Xi Jinping publicly express concern about AI extinction risk before 2026?
39
Ṁ1kṀ4.6kresolved Feb 20
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Xi would have to say something like "AI extinction risk is plausible and worth worrying about."
By "AI extinction risk," I mean the possibility of AI systems being largely responsible for the death of all humans.
Resolves according to my judgment, although I'm very open to hearing arguments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ196 | |
| 2 | Ṁ192 | |
| 3 | Ṁ151 | |
| 4 | Ṁ118 | |
| 5 | Ṁ111 |
Sort by:
Just to be sure, it would have to be him in particular saying this, with direct reliable audio/video evidence or some statement officially attributed to him for the market to resolve YES, and e.g. an official document or communication from the government that does not attribute the concern directly to him personally (even if paraphrased) would resolve as NO, correct?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
12% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
16% chance
Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
20% chance
Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
24% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
66% chance
Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
19% chance
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
80% chance
Will Vladimir Putin publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
13% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?
94% chance