
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
70
Ṁ1kṀ7.1kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ168 | |
| 2 | Ṁ135 | |
| 3 | Ṁ83 | |
| 4 | Ṁ77 | |
| 5 | Ṁ64 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2027?
22% chance
Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027?
18% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
24% chance
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
80% chance
Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?
16% chance
Will a federal moratorium on ~all state level AI regulation be in place at any point before 2030?
34% chance
Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
16% chance
Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?
39% chance
By 2030 will regulations or laws make it prohibitively difficult to develop AI models in the United States?
20% chance
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
77% chance