Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
62
1kṀ26842026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
18% chance
If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?
24% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
6% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
12% chance
Will AI get regulated after the US president election until the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
84% chance
Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?
16% chance
If Biden is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
25% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance
Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?
39% chance