Will Nate Silver "Run a “low-fi" version of his 2024 election model here at Silver Bulletin"?
6
27
130
2025
88%
chance

Run what I described in September as a “low-fi" version of the model here at Silver Bulletin, which might mean something like updates a couple of times a week, presented behind the paywall with a lot of context. If I do this, I’d potentially also have time to do some consulting (for financial clients, not political clients) about the election on the side.

His Odds: 3-2

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Do we know if Nate retained the IP for the election model from FiveThirtyEight? Does that mean that we can't expect a model from them this year?

Should we have a market on that? I'd expect 538 to do a model even if Nate got all the IP