Will anyone manage to get OpenAI Sora to generate NSFW videos in the three months after release?

115

1kṀ23k

resolved May 18

Resolved

ALL

Using the publicly available version when released, so not including red teamers. Anything as nsfw or worse as a woman with breasts exposed. Has to be at least somewhat replicable. Three months after release.

Update 2025-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is asking for any claims that the market should resolve YES. If no such claims are made, it will resolve NO.

OpenAI

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ3,098
2		Ṁ1,375
3		Ṁ1,152
4		Ṁ773
5		Ṁ511

People are also trading

What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]

Does OpenAI Allow Generation of NSFW Content by Text Models in API or Web Apps Until the End of 2024?

14% chance

When will OpenAI release an AI Video model (sora) with audio/sound?

When will an open-source AI video model comparable to Sora from OpenAI be released?

By 2028, will AI be capable of generating full high-quality explicit NSFW movies?

80% chance

Will OpenAI's Sora be available in the EU by the end of 2025?

99% chance

By 2028, will fully AI generated explicit NSFW movies be commonplace?

73% chance

Will AI-generated pornographic video become mainstream by 2026?

63% chance

How many parameters does the OpenAI Sora model unveiled in February 2024 have?

Will Pornhub offer an option to generate AI porn videos on demand before 2027?

Sort by:

I've never seen any, and look for it A LOT. I would say resolve this to No.

@traders any claims this should resolve yes? otherwise it'll resolve no

@jacksonpolack hmm they did clearly ban the feet videos and there were some semi pornographic movies, but i don’t think that is enough for it to resolve yes.

@jacksonpolack please resolve

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 13% order

This should resolve No, right? Not sure anyone's used it in the three months since release

@Mactuary sora is released?

@Mactuary Yeah this should resolve as no already

From a comment on the "explicitly pornographic" market: https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1866274473478947188
Woman with breasts exposed, but no prompt provided.

@jacksonpolack https://openai.com/index/sora-is-here/ since sora is released, the clock start ticking, right? The market should close on March 9, 2025

Which URLs can we see these at? Just for research, of course.

Would using the words “pre-hormone, pre-surgery, feminine-presenting trans man” in the prompt count if the output is undistinguishable from a woman?

bought Ṁ100 YES

The more that I understand how model training works. The more that I feel that it's almost certain. Since, I don't believe the major labs are likely to filter everything NSFW out of the pre-training data and instead will rely on post-training to accomplish avoiding NSFW outputs.

They will probably not feed it any pornographic data, what you mean by NSFW?

bought Ṁ60 YES

Mild eye roll to the threshold but that's roughly "Industry standard" so It's understandable. It's been easy enough to adapt prompts cleverly for every other image generator, I don't see why the latest and greatest will be any different.

I have another (more popular) market about more explicit pornography. I'm not intending to imply any moral judement either way.

@jacksonpolack lol I'm adding commentary for the sake of discussion. I have to laugh because by this time next year I'll probably go from instagram SFW to instagram NSFW if I post shirtless (see my market, I can delete embed if it's unwelcome)