
Resolves YES if the next (4th) Starship integrated flight test explodes or breaks up except as planned, known as a "rapid unscheduled/unplanned disassembly (RUD)".
The upper stage and booster each resolve separately to whether they each have a RUD.
Note that hitting the ocean surface intact and being destroyed on contact with the surface is not a RUD for this market (that is the mission plan). However, exploding on contact with land (as opposed to ocean) would be a RUD.
Other examples of things that aren't sufficient to count as a RUD: a part flying off without causing the breakup of the rocket, or a single engine having a fire.
Exploding on the pad before the launch would also count as a RUD.
We'll use a common sense definition here. The sources for resolution will be SpaceX, media, prominent space youtubers, etc. In case it isn't clear then I'll run a poll.
This question is about the next Starship mission with a planned trajectory that reaches space (100km altitude) - any low altitude test does not count for example. The close date is not a deadline, the question resolves when the flight occurs.
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