Resolves YES if by the end of 2023, the New York Times publishes an article that mentions Manifold, otherwise NO.

Fine print:

• It must specifically mention Manifold by name in the article text, e.g. a screenshot of Manifold would not count.

• It must actually refer to Manifold (this website), e.g. the words "manifold markets" next to each other referring to something else wouldn't count.

• Resolution will be based on google search site:nytimes.com "manifold markets" or if a article meeting the criteria is linked in the comments.

  • Clarification: This means that I will examine links found by a google search like this and links posted in the comments to see whether they meet the criteria.

• If manifold changes its name, the question will resolve YES if NYT mentions Manifold by either its old or new name.

• Clarification: podcasts, videos, etc are not articles.

• If an article links to manifold without actually saying manifold in the text, that does not count.