Will Manifold add non-google sign ups on Windows desktop website before 2025?
14
59
340
2025
45%
chance

Resolves YES if it is possible to create a Manifold account without a Google account, on a web browser on a Windows desktop, by end of 2024. Otherwise NO.

See commentary on previous market about Apple account support on iOS: https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-manifold-markets-add-nongoogle-7f94524962ef

Get Ṁ200 play money
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bought Ṁ150 NO

Bought it back down a bit in case the changes to the phone verification are related more to mana supply changes than anti-spam. I also read something on Notion in the last week or two that moving the login process via the Supabase migration will probably still use only Google, at least at first.

bought Ṁ100 YES

They recently added phone verification which seems like an enabler to not require a Google account. Buying some yes. It's a ridiculous requirement.